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Greg Wyman's avatar

Charlie: Thanks for the additional information. Arizona is the most significant state with this issue, but if universal vouchers expand accross the country all states will potentially face this issue.

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Charlie Martin's avatar

I’d add to the cost estimates cited here that the JLBC’s own analysis found that there would be a cost to serve all existing private and home school students, but the published JLBC analysis badly underestimated how quickly home and private school students would sign up for ESAs (they assumed that only 10% or 1 in 10 would sign up by the end of the second year when the true number was closer to 100%). If the JLBC had not made that significant error, Legislators would have seen the ~$300M cost for universal ESAs before voting on the ESA bill.

https://www.azleg.gov/legtext/55leg/2R/fiscal/HB2853.DOCX.pdf

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